Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.000605 0.000696 0.000792 0.000902 0.001024 0.001154 0.001303
2025-05-04 0.000459 0.000582 0.000724 0.000895 0.001097 0.001325 0.001601
2025-05-11 0.000375 0.000510 0.000671 0.000877 0.001129 0.001424 0.001792
2025-05-18 0.000325 0.000470 0.000651 0.000890 0.001192 0.001557 0.002025
2025-05-25 0.000283 0.000432 0.000626 0.000891 0.001237 0.001664 0.002225
2025-06-01 0.000237 0.000384 0.000583 0.000864 0.001240 0.001716 0.002355
2025-06-08 0.000201 0.000343 0.000545 0.000838 0.001241 0.001763 0.002476
2025-06-15 0.000177 0.000319 0.000526 0.000835 0.001271 0.001846 0.002645
2025-06-22 0.000157 0.000297 0.000508 0.000833 0.001300 0.001927 0.002812
2025-06-29 0.000137 0.000274 0.000486 0.000822 0.001315 0.001989 0.002952
2025-07-06 0.000119 0.000250 0.000462 0.000805 0.001320 0.002035 0.003073
2025-07-13 0.000110 0.000243 0.000461 0.000823 0.001375 0.002153 0.003291
2025-07-20 0.000101 0.000232 0.000456 0.000835 0.001422 0.002261 0.003502
2025-07-27 0.000089 0.000215 0.000439 0.000825 0.001437 0.002322 0.003649
2025-08-03 0.000077 0.000198 0.000418 0.000809 0.001440 0.002366 0.003772
2025-08-10 0.000071 0.000190 0.000414 0.000821 0.001485 0.002473 0.003986
2025-08-17 0.000064 0.000180 0.000405 0.000822 0.001515 0.002557 0.004169
2025-08-24 0.000054 0.000163 0.000381 0.000796 0.001499 0.002572 0.004250
2025-08-31 0.000046 0.000147 0.000359 0.000772 0.001484 0.002587 0.004331
2025-09-07 0.000041 0.000139 0.000350 0.000769 0.001505 0.002657 0.004493
2025-09-14 0.000037 0.000131 0.000341 0.000767 0.001526 0.002726 0.004657
2025-09-21 0.000032 0.000122 0.000328 0.000757 0.001532 0.002773 0.004786
2025-09-28 0.000027 0.000112 0.000313 0.000741 0.001528 0.002803 0.004891